Week 14 kicks off with the Pittsburgh Steelers hosting the New England Patriots, showcasing a matchup between two teams grappling with quarterback issues. As the game unfolds, bettors seek valuable insights on where to place their wagers and what to steer clear of.
Expert Analysis on the Game
Eric Moody: Describes the matchup as potentially the season’s ugliest ‘Thursday Night Football’ game. Notes the Patriots’ offensive struggles, ranking 28th in total yards and 32nd in points per game. Predicts the Steelers, led by backup quarterback Mitch Trubisky, to capitalize and cover the spread.
Tyler Fulghum: Favors the Steelers -6, citing their home advantage and an advantageous matchup against an offensively challenged Patriots team. Highlights the Patriots’ poor ATS record this season and Mike Tomlin’s strong ATS performance after losses.
Anita Marks: Suggests betting on the Steelers team total UNDER 18.5, emphasizing the challenges posed by Trubisky stepping in for the injured Kenny Pickett. Foresees the Patriots’ defense limiting the Steelers’ rushing game and putting pressure on Trubisky.
Insights on Over/Under
Aaron Schatz: Acknowledges the exceptionally low total of 30.5 and leans towards the UNDER. Despite historical data supporting the difficulty of going under such a low total, Schatz points to the Steelers’ solid defense and the Patriots’ offensive struggles as factors favoring the under.
Tyler Fulghum: Expresses confidence in the UNDER 30.5, making it his best bet. Highlights the Patriots’ offensive woes and the Steelers’ tendency to finish games under the total, with 10 of 12 games this season falling below.
Anita Marks: Agrees with the UNDER, citing a prime time under trend and the conservative offensive approaches of both teams, likely leading to a lower-scoring affair.
Impact of Player Losses
Eric Moody: Views Rhamondre Stevenson’s absence as the bigger loss for the Patriots, emphasizing his significant contributions to the team’s offense. Notes that Stevenson’s absence may put more pressure on the struggling Patriots quarterback situation.
Tyler Fulghum: Concurs, labeling Stevenson as the more critical loss due to his status as the Patriots’ primary offensive weapon.
Aaron Schatz: Asserts that quarterback Kenny Pickett’s absence for the Steelers is the bigger loss, emphasizing the importance of the quarterback position and downplaying Stevenson’s impact.
Seth Walder: Echoes the sentiment, considering Stevenson’s absence as the bigger loss for the Patriots given Pickett’s less-than-stellar performance this season.
Favorite Prop Bets and Additional Plays
Eric Moody: Favors Allen Robinson II OVER 1.5 receptions, highlighting his recent performance and rapport with Trubisky. Notes the Patriots’ defense vulnerabilities against wide receivers.
Aaron Schatz: Supports Robinson over 1.5 receptions, emphasizing the Patriots’ weakness against “other receivers,” positioning Robinson for a favorable outcome.
Anita Marks: Teases Malik Cunningham anytime TD as a potential prop bet, noting his red zone involvement in practice. Encourages keeping an eye on the odds.
Tyler Fulghum: Recommends Mitch Trubisky under 0.5 interceptions, banking on a conservative game plan for the Steelers and limited interception opportunities.
- Eric Moody: Steelers UNDER 17.5 total points, citing their average home scoring and the Patriots’ formidable d